Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Manatee
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.40 · +10.2% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 8h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3918
3917 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3917u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
814
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1987 | 68.5% | −84.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6h before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6h before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Round of 16. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao ManateeFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.40 · +10.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai PortFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Shaanxi Union vs Changchun YataiFootball · League 1 | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| St Albans Saints vs Bentleigh GreensFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Oakleigh Cannons vs Green GullyFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 6h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Dandenong City vs Altona MagicFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 6h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs QueenslandFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Olympic Brisbane vs Rochedale RoversFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Wynnum Wolves vs Magic UnitedFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Brisbane Roar (youth) vs Gold Coast KnightsFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| FC Sydney U21 vs St. George CityFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.70 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Las Vegas Aces (w) vs Washington Mystics (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 83-76 | WON |
| Iquique vs Deportes CopiapoFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa CruzFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.00 · −6.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Rosario Central vs Corinthians SPFootball · Round of 16. First leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.45 · +5.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Grotta vs NjardvikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 3.35 · +15.5% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Fylkir Reykjavik vs AftureldingFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.55 · +10.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris VilniusFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Shamrock RoversFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 5-1 | WON |
| Shelbourne vs AjaxFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.15 · −6.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Hearts vs BenficaFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Motherwell vs HJK HelsinkiFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.65 · −8.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Gent vs GoteborgFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.48 · −6.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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