Rangers vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
- Feed close
- 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.55 · +10.7% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 17m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3918
3917 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3917u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
814
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1987 | 68.5% | −84.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.55 · +10.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Gyor Eto vs FC RigaFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Anderlecht vs PAOKFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Sion vs NoahFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Grindavik vs Throttur ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.38 · −13.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel AvivFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| IF Vestri vs IR ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Sankt Gallen vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Vaduz vs Inter TurkuFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| NSI Runavik vs LuganoFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs ThunFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs BragaFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.33 · −3.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Besiktas vs Hradec KraloveFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Nordsjaelland vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.07 · +0.9% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red ImpsFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.11 · −4.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Midtjylland vs Bohemians DublinFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Tromso vs CFR ClujFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Gornik Zabrze vs FerencvarosFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Rigas FS vs JablonecFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Abha vs Al-HazemFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Flora Tallinn vs Inter EscaldesFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| DAK 1904 Dunajska Streda vs TwenteFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.48 · −11.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Qarabag vs Dynamo KievFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.