Valenciennes vs Bourg-Peronnas
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 3
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Football · Bundesliga 3
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Football · Premier League
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Football · League 1
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Football · Superleague
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· first seen 8h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes vs Bourg-PeronnasFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Cannes vs Fleury 91Football · Ligue 3 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Wurzburger Kickers vs Wehen WiesbadenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium ArakFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Hertha Wels vs Rapid 2 ViennaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs BochumFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Rotor vs UralFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Holstein Kiel vs St. PauliFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Dnepr Mogilev vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dukla Prague vs Slavia 2 PragueFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.62 · −0.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Nomme United vs Tammeka TartuFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Budapest Honved vs VasasFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Turan Tovuz vs QabalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| VPS Vaasa vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Pohronie vs BytcaFootball · League 2 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Neftekhimik vs ShinnikFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Feronikeli vs SC GjilaniFootball · Superliga | first seen 29m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Galatasaray U19 vs Corum U19Football · U19. Elit Ligi | first seen 29m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV | 9-1 | WON |
| Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Ittihad KalbaFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia MozyrFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Orenburg vs Lokomotiv MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk vs Probiy HorodenkaFootball · League 1 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Chongqing Tongliang LongFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.03 · −1.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao ManateeFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.40 · +10.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
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