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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3699

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3700

3699 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.3%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−214.7u

over 3699u staked

Yield

−5.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%67554.5%51%–58%51%–58%−1.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%140762.0%59%–65%59%–65%−4.2pp
70–80%avg claim 75%141270.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%19171.7%65%–78%65%–78%−8.7pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−5pp

596

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3699

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±82.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance188168.3%−85.6u
Match winner181960.2%−129.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League68666.9%−22.7u
Superleague30860.7%−39.0u
League 130467.1%−11.7u
MLB↗MLB league page16859.5%+14.7u
League 215160.3%−18.3u
Division 110664.2%−6.9u
Division 29566.3%−3.0u
Serie B9061.1%−8.7u
Championship6864.7%−5.0u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6861.8%−6.1u
Serie A6354.0%−12.3u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3700 picks with a captured kickoff.

Hunedoara vs CFR Cluj

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.65 · +3.9% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 24m before

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 9m before

Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.10 · +3.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 9m before

Koper vs Bravo

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 9m before

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4m before

IB Vestmannaeyjar vs IA Akranes

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Prague

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro

Football · Liga MX

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Villa San Carlos vs Defensores Unidos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Sarmiento vs Huracan

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Armenio

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Unia Skierniewice vs Miedz Legnica

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Stuttgart 2 vs Viktoria Koln

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Lommel United vs Charleroi

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Hunedoara vs CFR ClujFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 24m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.65 · +3.9% CLV3-0LOST
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav RuseFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 9m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-2LOST
Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 9m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.10 · +3.4% CLV2-1WON
Koper vs BravoFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 9m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—5-7WON
IB Vestmannaeyjar vs IA AkranesFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-3LOST
Slovan Liberec vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV1-1LOST
Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost PodgoricaFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-0WON
Pumas UNAM vs QueretaroFootball · Liga MX2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV0-0LOST
Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-4WON
Tristan Suarez vs Almirante BrownFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-1WON
Villa San Carlos vs Defensores UnidosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV1-0WON
Sarmiento vs HuracanFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-0LOST
UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo ArmenioFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-1WON
Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV2-4WON
Cincinnati Reds vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—1-7WON
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—5-7WON
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—0-5WON
New York Mets vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—4-3WON
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—3-4LOST
Atlanta Braves vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—5-3LOST
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8-3LOST
Unia Skierniewice vs Miedz LegnicaFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-3WON
Stuttgart 2 vs Viktoria KolnFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-3LOST
Lommel United vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON

2376–2400 of 3700

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.