Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3692

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3693

3692 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.4%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.5u

over 3692u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claims	Picks	Measured	95% CI	Gap
30–40%avg claim 39%	1	—	—	—
40–50%avg claim 46%	7	—	—	—
50–60%avg claim 56%	674	54.6%51%–58%	51%–58%	−1.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%	1403	62.2%60%–65%	60%–65%	−4.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%	1410	70.5%68%–73%	68%–73%	−4.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%	191	71.7%65%–78%	65%–78%	−8.7pp
90–100%avg claim 90%	6	—	—	—

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−5pp

589

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3692

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±82.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Double chance	1881	68.3%	−85.6u
Match winner	1812	60.4%	−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Premier League	681	67.1%	−20.6u
Superleague	307	60.9%	−38.0u
League 1	304	67.1%	−11.7u
MLB MLB league page	168	59.5%	+14.7u
League 2	151	60.3%	−18.3u
Division 1	106	64.2%	−6.9u
Division 2	95	66.3%	−3.0u
Serie B	90	61.1%	−8.7u
Championship	68	64.7%	−5.0u
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional league page	68	61.8%	−6.1u
Serie A	63	54.0%	−12.3u
National league. North National league. North league page	54	61.1%	−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3693 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sport

League

Market

Result

Period

ABC Natal vs Nacional Manaus

Football · Serie D. Quarter-finals. Second leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.80 · +4.7% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Las Palmas vs Albacete

Football · Segunda Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close: 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.67 · −14.4% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 38m before

Famalicao vs Maritimo

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.72 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 38m before

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close: —
Score: 4-11

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close: 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV
Score: 3-0