Envigado vs Union Magdalena
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.30 · −9.8% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3159
3159 graded
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.8u
over 3159u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 533 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1238 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.3pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1216 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+2pp
59
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1654 | 68.5% | −70.3u |
| Match winner | 1505 | 61.0% | −94.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 560 | 67.3% | −15.1u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3159 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie B
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envigado vs Union MagdalenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.30 · −9.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Curico Unido vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B | first seen 14m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Vila Nova vs Ceara FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| CRB vs CriciumaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.15 · −2.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportes Temuco vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Benevento vs SudtirolFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Pisa vs CatanzaroFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Avai vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| America Mineiro vs Ponte PretaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.09-11119/1000.09-11.11+0.09from 1.09 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Arezzo vs PalermoFootball · Serie B | first seen 9m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.05 · +1.5% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Mantova vs EmpoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3:1 | LOST |
| Union Espanola vs Rangers TalcaFootball · Serie B | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.95 · +1.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Real Santander vs Internacional PalmiraFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Santiago Wanderers vs MagallanesFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Ascoli vs CarrareseFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.90 · +5.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Patriotas BoyacaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Avellino vs VicenzaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Padova vs VeronaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Virtus Entella vs CesenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sampdoria vs Juve StabiaFootball · Serie B | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Union Magdalena vs Deportes QuindioFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Novorizontino vs Sport RecifeFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.52 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Nautico Capibaribe vs Athletic Minas GeraisFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Goias vs Sao BernardoFootball · Serie B | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Independiente Yumbo vs LeonesFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
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