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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3159

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3159

3159 graded

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−164.8u

over 3159u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W5

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%53355.5%51%–60%51%–60%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%123862.0%59%–65%59%–65%−4.3pp
70–80%avg claim 75%121671.0%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16674.1%67%–80%67%–80%−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+2pp

59

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3159

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance165468.5%−70.3u
Match winner150561.0%−94.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League56067.3%−15.1u
League 125968.7%−3.3u
Superleague25661.3%−31.5u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
MLB↗MLB league page12862.5%+18.4u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6165.6%−2.2u
Serie A5453.7%−10.5u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u
Championship5263.5%−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3159 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Deportivo

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 2m before

Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 4.00 · +92.3% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

Mirassol vs Palmeiras SP

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.02 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 14m before

Gremio vs Chapecoense

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 14m before

Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros Villavicencio

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 3h before

Corinthians SP vs Santos SP

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Universidad Concepcion vs Universidad Chile

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Flamengo RJ vs Botafogo RJ

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.40 · +9.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Nublense vs Deportes Concepcion

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria Salvador

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 28m before

Deportes Limache vs Everton VM

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 28m before

Jaguares Cordoba vs America de Cali

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 23m before

Cobresal vs Palestino

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 0m before

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 1h before

Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza Zipaquira

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-26 · first seen 45m before

La Serena vs Cobresal

Football · Serie A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.62 · +10.2% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Bragantino vs Gremio

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.67 · +6.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Santos SP vs Mirassol

Football · Serie A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.87 · +8.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo

Football · Serie A

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Palmeiras SP vs Vasco da Gama RJ

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.57 · −1.9% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros Villavicencio

Football · Serie A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta Deportivo

Football · Serie A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache

Football · Serie A

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.15 · +37.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A2026-09-01first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo PereiraFootball · Serie A2026-08-31first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-2LOST
Deportivo Cali vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A2026-08-31first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 4.00 · +92.3% CLV2:1WON
Mirassol vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 14m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.02 · −3.8% CLV1-1LOST
Gremio vs ChapecoenseFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 14m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—3-1WON
Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-1WON
Corinthians SP vs Santos SPFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1LOST
Universidad Concepcion vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV2-1LOST
Flamengo RJ vs Botafogo RJFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.40 · +9.4% CLV3-0WON
Nublense vs Deportes ConcepcionFootball · Serie A2026-08-30first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1LOST
Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria SalvadorFootball · Serie A2026-08-29first seen 28m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV2-1WON
Deportes Limache vs Everton VMFootball · Serie A2026-08-29first seen 28m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-3LOST
Jaguares Cordoba vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A2026-08-29first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV2-2LOST
Cobresal vs PalestinoFootball · Serie A2026-08-28first seen 0m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo CaliFootball · Serie A2026-08-27first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza ZipaquiraFootball · Serie A2026-08-26first seen 45m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV0-0LOST
La Serena vs CobresalFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.62 · +10.2% CLV3-3LOST
Bragantino vs GremioFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.67 · +6.4% CLV1-0WON
Santos SP vs MirassolFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.87 · +8.7% CLV1-1LOST
Chapecoense vs Sao PauloFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0LOST
Palmeiras SP vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.57 · −1.9% CLV4-1WON
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1WON
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV0-1LOST
Huachipato vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV1-3WON
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.15 · +37.0% CLV0-0WON

1–25 of 54· 29 won / 25 lost · −10.5u · −19.5% yield · of 3159 total

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