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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3159

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3159

3159 graded

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−164.8u

over 3159u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W5

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%53355.5%51%–60%51%–60%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%123862.0%59%–65%59%–65%−4.3pp
70–80%avg claim 75%121671.0%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16674.1%67%–80%67%–80%−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+2pp

59

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3159

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance165468.5%−70.3u
Match winner150561.0%−94.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League56067.3%−15.1u
League 125968.7%−3.3u
Superleague25661.3%−31.5u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
MLB↗MLB league page12862.5%+18.4u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6165.6%−2.2u
Serie A5453.7%−10.5u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u
Championship5263.5%−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3159 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Zurich vs Young Boys

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-01 · first seen 30m before

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 59m before

Besiktas vs Corum Belediyespor

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV
Score
6-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Amedspor vs Trabzonspor

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.97 · −5.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Erbil vs Al Minaa

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 3h before

Partizan Beograd vs OFK Beograd

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 2h before

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Teuta Durres vs FC Tirana

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 32m before

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa SK

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 32m before

Nafta Lendava vs Maribor

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.47 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 17m before

Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 17m before

Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Spartak Trnava vs Zilina

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.75 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 9m before

Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-30 · first seen 24m before

Dacia Buiucani vs Milsami

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 9m before

Eyupspor vs Alanyaspor

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 3h before

Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplin Michalovce

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Hamarkameratene vs Kristiansund

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Kralove

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 57m before

Melaka vs Negeri Sembilan

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 12m before

Lyngby vs Odense

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 12h before

Sion vs Lugano

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 12h before

Nomme Kalju vs Levadia Tallinn

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 11h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Zurich vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague2026-09-01first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV2-4WON
Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo TiranaFootball · Superleague2026-08-31first seen 59m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-1WON
Besiktas vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague2026-08-31first seen 29m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV6-2WON
Amedspor vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague2026-08-31first seen 29m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.97 · −5.3% CLV2-1LOST
Erbil vs Al MinaaFootball · Superleague2026-08-31first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-0WON
Partizan Beograd vs OFK BeogradFootball · Superleague2026-08-31first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-1WON
IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-0WON
Teuta Durres vs FC TiranaFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-1WON
Samsunspor vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 32m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV0-2WON
Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa SKFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV1-1LOST
Nafta Lendava vs MariborFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.47 · 0.0% CLV2-3WON
Widzew Lodz vs Lech PoznanFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-3WON
Sparta Prague vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-3LOST
Spartak Trnava vs ZilinaFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 9m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.75 · −3.8% CLV1-3LOST
Lillestrom vs FredrikstadFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 24m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-4LOST
Dacia Buiucani vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 9m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-0WON
Eyupspor vs AlanyasporFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1LOST
Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV1-2LOST
Hamarkameratene vs KristiansundFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-2WON
Flora Tallinn vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-2LOST
Slovan Liberec vs Hradec KraloveFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 57m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON
Melaka vs Negeri SembilanFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 12m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-1LOST
Lyngby vs OdenseFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 12h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-1WON
Sion vs LuganoFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 12h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-2WON
Nomme Kalju vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 11h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-3WON

1–25 of 256· 157 won / 99 lost · −31.5u · −12.3% yield · of 3159 total

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