Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
Football · Cup. Quarter-finals. Second leg
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1:1
· first seen 5d 5h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3159
3159 graded
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.8u
over 3159u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 533 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1238 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.3pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1216 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+2pp
59
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1654 | 68.5% | −70.3u |
| Match winner | 1505 | 61.0% | −94.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 560 | 67.3% | −15.1u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3159 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Cup. Quarter-finals. Second leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5d 5h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Cup. 1/16 finals
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mineiro vs CruzeiroFootball · Cup. Quarter-finals. Second leg | first seen 5d 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| LDU Quito vs Mushuc RunaFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Delfin vs Tecnico UniversitarioFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico Grau vs MelgarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Huddersfield vs Oxford UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Fleetwood Town vs OldhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Exeter City vs BarnetFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Torino vs MonzaFootball · Cup. 1/16 finals | first seen 45h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Stoke City vs Norwich CityFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Birmingham City vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Tranmere Rovers vs RotherhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Peterborough United vs StevenageFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Swindon Town vs Port ValeFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Cheltenham Town vs York CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Doncaster Rovers vs Notts CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| West Ham vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 4:2 | WON |
| Swansea vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Preston North End vs Bristol CityFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Portsmouth vs Derby CountyFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Bromley vs Leyton OrientFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Lincoln City vs Blackburn RoversFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Rochdale vs Shrewsbury TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Crewe Alexandra vs WalsallFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
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