Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1:2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3159
3159 graded
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.8u
over 3159u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 533 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1238 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.3pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1216 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+2pp
59
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1654 | 68.5% | −70.3u |
| Match winner | 1505 | 61.0% | −94.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 560 | 67.3% | −15.1u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3159 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Challenge League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Bundesliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Challenge League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 5m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 8:1 | WON |
| Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4-3 | LOST |
| Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 15-2 | LOST |
| Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-9 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 2:3 | LOST |
| Envigado vs Union MagdalenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.30 · −9.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Bristol Rovers vs Colchester UnitedFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.75 · −4.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.30 · +15.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Wycombe Wanderers vs Sheffield WednesdayFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.40 · −11.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Sheffield United vs Bolton WanderersFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Northampton Town vs Crawley TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chesterfield vs GillinghamFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Bradford City vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 4.30 · +126.3% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Salford City vs Newport CountyFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.50 · +5.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Halifax Town vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 45m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Zurich vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.73 · +13.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Al Tadamon vs Al SalmiyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.68 · +3.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Rapperswil-Jona vs KriensFootball · Challenge League | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kruger United vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Wolfsberger AC vs LASKFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.73 · +23.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Bocholt vs BonnerFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
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