Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3685
3684 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.4%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.0u
over 3684u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 670 | 54.6%51%–58% | −1.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1403 | 62.2%60%–65% | −4.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1406 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 191 | 71.7%65%–78% | −8.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−5pp
581
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±82.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1880 | 68.3% | −86.0u |
| Match winner | 1805 | 60.4% | −123.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 678 | 67.3% | −19.0u |
| Superleague | 307 | 60.9% | −38.0u |
| League 1 | 304 | 67.1% | −11.7u |
| MLBMLB league page | 168 | 59.5% | +14.7u |
| League 2 | 150 | 60.7% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 106 | 64.2% | −6.9u |
| Division 2 | 95 | 66.3% | −3.0u |
| Serie B | 90 | 61.1% | −8.7u |
| Championship | 68 | 64.7% | −5.0u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 68 | 61.8% | −6.1u |
| Serie A | 63 | 54.0% | −12.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3685 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Football · Liga MX
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. NWSL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga MX
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brindabella Blues vs Tuggeranong UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 21m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.37 · +3.0% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Pachuca vs PueblaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| NSI Runavik vs SkalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.42 · +5.2% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| KI Klaksvik vs HB TorshavnFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Otrant vs PetrovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Artis Brno vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Moron vs AcassusoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Asane vs KongsvingerFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Skopje vs Struga Trim-LumFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Houston Dash (w) vs Kansas City (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Coquimbo Unido vs La SerenaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| VSK Aarhus vs Fremad AmagerFootball · 2 division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju UnitedFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.72 · −7.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein KielFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Eskilsminne vs RosengardFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Seongnam vs Cheonan CityFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Ljungskile vs OddevoldFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.35 · +16.3% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sandefjord vs KFUM OsloFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Once Caldas vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Necaxa vs LeonFootball · Liga MX | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Palestino vs HuachipatoFootball · Serie A | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.58 · 0.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Deportes Temuco vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B | first seen 23m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Decic Tuzi vs BokeljFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hacken vs HalmstadsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Noah vs AlashkertFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.