Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3683
3682 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−207.0u
over 3682u staked
Yield
−5.6%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 669 | 54.7%51%–58% | −1.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1402 | 62.2%60%–65% | −4.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1406 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 191 | 71.7%65%–78% | −8.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
579
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±82.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1880 | 68.3% | −86.0u |
| Match winner | 1803 | 60.5% | −121.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 678 | 67.3% | −19.0u |
| Superleague | 307 | 60.9% | −38.0u |
| League 1 | 304 | 67.1% | −11.7u |
| MLBMLB league page | 168 | 59.5% | +14.7u |
| League 2 | 150 | 60.7% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 106 | 64.2% | −6.9u |
| Division 2 | 95 | 66.3% | −3.0u |
| Serie B | 90 | 61.1% | −8.7u |
| Championship | 68 | 64.7% | −5.0u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 68 | 61.8% | −6.1u |
| Serie A | 63 | 54.0% | −12.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3683 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · 2 division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Football · Liga MX
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogndal vs Sandnes UlfFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro MetapanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Deportes Limache vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| BATE Borisov vs VitebskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.35 · −16.1% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Academico Viseu vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.90 · +3.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Vysocina JihlavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Zob Ahan vs Foolad KhuzestanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hednesford Town vs Scarborough AthleticFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Coleraine vs LarneFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Bangor vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Ranheim vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.55 · −4.3% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sollentuna vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Halifax Town vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask WroclawFootball · Superleague | first seen 39m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Hoek vs KoninklijkeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Gomel vs Naftan NovopolotskFootball · Premier League | first seen 4m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 6-0 | WON |
| 22 de Julio vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 2 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Kolding IF vs VejleFootball · 1st Division | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Nykobing vs B-93 CopenhagenFootball · 2 division | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Skive vs Fremad AmagerFootball · 2 division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Navbahor vs Bunyodkor TashkentFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.35 · +12.5% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Peninsula Power vs Brisbane CityFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Weston Bears vs Adamstown RosebudFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Brindabella Blues vs Tuggeranong UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 21m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.37 · +3.0% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Pachuca vs PueblaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
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