Folgore/Falciano vs Murata
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.10 · +4.8% CLV
- Score
- 3:3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3327
3326 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−189.9u
over 3326u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 589 | 54.5%50%–58% | −1.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1286 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 172 | 73.8%67%–80% | −6.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−6pp
224
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1718 | 68.2% | −81.7u |
| Match winner | 1609 | 60.5% | −108.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 611 | 67.1% | −18.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 151 | 60.3% | +15.6u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Serie C. Group B
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Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore/Falciano vs MurataFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.10 · +4.8% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Galway vs ShelbourneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cobh Ramblers vs Longford TownFootball · Division 1 | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Cavese vs Audace CerignolaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Drogheda United vs FC DundalkFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Valletta vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pianese vs VadoFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Tenerife vs Sporting GijonFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Crystal Palace vs Manchester CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 1:4 | WON |
| Wrexham vs Birmingham CityFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Barletta vs BariFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Casarano vs GiuglianoFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Scafatese vs PicernoFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| 3 de Noviembre vs Independiente Campo GrandeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Barry Town vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Cork City vs WexfordFootball · Division 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| Holywell Town vs CaernarfonFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.30 · +11.1% CLV | 3-5 | WON |
| Kerry vs Treaty UnitedFootball · Division 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.93 · +0.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Genk vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Connahs Quay vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Odra Opole vs LKS LodzFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Edinburgh City vs ForfarFootball · League 2 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Tamworth vs WorthingFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Barrow vs Yeovil TownFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Genclerbirligi vs Erzurumspor BBFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.90 · −13.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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