Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 8-1
· first seen 45m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3327
3326 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−189.9u
over 3326u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 589 | 54.5%50%–58% | −1.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1286 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 172 | 73.8%67%–80% | −6.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−6pp
224
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1718 | 68.2% | −81.7u |
| Match winner | 1609 | 60.5% | −108.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 611 | 67.1% | −18.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 151 | 60.3% | +15.6u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · USL. League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 45m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 8-1 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 9-4 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Charlotte Independence vs AV AltaFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Atletico Ottawa vs Inter TorontoFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Supra du Quebec vs ForgeFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Goias vs Sao BernardoFootball · Serie B | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Cobresal vs PalestinoFootball · Serie A | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| General Caballero vs Deportivo CapiataFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 1.43 · −29.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Mushuc Runa vs DelfinFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Independiente Yumbo vs LeonesFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Comerciantes Unidos vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Hornchurch vs WokingFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.17 · −11.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hednesford Town vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| The New Saints vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Cardiff Metropolitan vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Aldershot Town vs Harrogate TownFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.88 · −9.6% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Altrincham vs Halifax TownFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Hartlepool United vs EastleighFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Alaves vs VillarrealFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Juvenes/Dogana vs FaetanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Cailungo vs SP DomagnanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.40 · +6.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| San Marino Academy vs FiorentinoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Rio Ave vs Sporting LisbonFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.32 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.