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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Zemun vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

Football · Superleague

Won

Away - FK Zeleznicar PancevoHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Benfica vs Guimaraes

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5Benfica Goals

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

FK Laktasi vs Omarska

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - FK LaktasiHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

Eibar (W) B vs Real Oviedo (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

Haka vs PK-35

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-09*

FC Wettswill-Bonsetetten vs Winterthur

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-09*

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Football · Cup. Second round

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-27 · tipped 18d before

Mlada Boleslav II vs Banik Most-Sous

Football · Livebet

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score In 1st Half

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

PEC Zwolle U19 vs Ajax U19

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

PEC Zwolle U19 vs Ajax U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Ajax U19Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

ZNK Split (W) vs NK Medimurje Cakovec (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home +1.5,+2.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Braga (W) vs Benfica (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 6Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

FC Twente (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

West Ham (w) vs Chelsea (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Won

Away - Chelsea (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven vs Lowen Frankfurt

Ice Hockey · Livebet

Lost

Home -1.5Game Lines

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Netherlands vs Serbia

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Green Bay Packers vs TB Buccaneers

Am.Football · Livebet

Lost

Money TB BuccaneersGame Lines

Tipster odds
4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Auxerre vs Clermont Foot

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 7.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-02*

Auxerre vs Clermont Foot

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 3.5Clermont Foot Goals

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-02*

US Chaouia vs AS Khroub

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
0:0

2026-10-02*

Estonia U21 vs France U21

Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage

Won

Away -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-29*

Estonia U21 vs France U21

Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage

Lost

Away -1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-29*

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan

Football · Division C. Group stage

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-29*

Promitheas Patras vs Peristeri

Basketball · Basket League

Won

Away +4.5Game Lines

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-03 · tipped 3d 18h before

Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)

Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg

Lost

Home - Czarni Sosnowiec (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-30*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Zemun vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague2026-10-11*Away - FK Zeleznicar PancevoHalf Time/Full Time2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——WON
Benfica vs GuimaraesFootball · Livebet2026-10-11*Over 1.5Benfica Goals1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
FK Laktasi vs OmarskaFootball · Livebet2026-10-10*Home - FK LaktasiHalf Time/Full Time2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72——WON
Eibar (W) B vs Real Oviedo (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-10*Home +0.5Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Haka vs PK-35Football · Livebet2026-10-09*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
FC Wettswill-Bonsetetten vs WinterthurFootball · Livebet2026-10-09*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——VOID
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder BremenFootball · Cup. Second round2026-10-27tipped 18d beforeHome YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Mlada Boleslav II vs Banik Most-SousFootball · Livebet2026-10-10*YesBoth Teams To Score In 1st Half2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——LOST
PEC Zwolle U19 vs Ajax U19Football · Livebet2026-10-10*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
PEC Zwolle U19 vs Ajax U19Football · Livebet2026-10-10*Away - Ajax U19Half Time/Full Time2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——WON
ZNK Split (W) vs NK Medimurje Cakovec (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-04*Home +1.5,+2.0Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Braga (W) vs Benfica (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-04*Over 6Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——VOID
FC Twente (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-04*Over 3Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
West Ham (w) vs Chelsea (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-10-04*Away - Chelsea (W)Half Time/Full Time2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——WON
Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven vs Lowen FrankfurtIce Hockey · Livebet2026-10-04*Home -1.5Game Lines1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
Netherlands vs SerbiaFootball · Livebet2026-10-04*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Green Bay Packers vs TB BuccaneersAm.Football · Livebet2026-10-04*Money TB BuccaneersGame Lines4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31——LOST
Auxerre vs Clermont FootFootball · Livebet2026-10-02*Over 7.5Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
Auxerre vs Clermont FootFootball · Livebet2026-10-02*Over 3.5Clermont Foot Goals3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50——LOST
US Chaouia vs AS KhroubFootball · Livebet2026-10-02*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—0:0LOST
Estonia U21 vs France U21Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage2026-09-29*Away -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Estonia U21 vs France U21Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage2026-09-29*Away -1.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Slovakia vs KazakhstanFootball · Division C. Group stage2026-09-29*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——WON
Promitheas Patras vs PeristeriBasketball · Basket League2026-10-03tipped 3d 18h beforeAway +4.5Game Lines1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——WON
Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg2026-09-30*Home - Czarni Sosnowiec (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

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