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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Sporting Lisbon U19 vs LASK U19

Football · U19. League phase

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-21 · tipped 3d 2h before

Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Schalke U19 vs Fortuna Dusseldorf U19

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.48+14837/251.48+1.48-0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Sant Andreu U19 vs Huesca U19

Football · U19. Youth Championship

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Polonia Warsaw II vs Ursus Warsaw

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Celik Zenica vs Sarajevo

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Eibar (W) B vs Real Oviedo (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

FC Wettswill-Bonsetetten vs Winterthur

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-09*

ZNK Split (W) vs NK Medimurje Cakovec (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home +1.5,+2.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Estonia U21 vs France U21

Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage

Won

Away -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-29*

Estonia U21 vs France U21

Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage

Lost

Away -1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-29*

Coruxo vs Gernika

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Yeclano vs Elche

Football · Livebet

Void

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Yeclano vs Elche

Football · Livebet

Won

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Novorizontino U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Levanger vs Grorud

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

FC Rapid 1923 (W) vs SSU Politehnica Timisoara (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +3Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

MKS Myszkow (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM II (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Sochaux U19 vs Lyon U19

Football · U19. Youth League

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Gernika vs UD Llanera

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

UC Ceares vs CD Colunga

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Estoril vs Casa Pia

Football · Premier League

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Dender vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Football · Division 2

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Sporting Lisbon U19 vs LASK U19Football · U19. League phase2026-10-21tipped 3d 2h beforeAway 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55——LOST
Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Academia Puerto Cabello vs MonagasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-10-18*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Schalke U19 vs Fortuna Dusseldorf U19Football · Livebet2026-10-11*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.48+14837/251.48+1.48-0.68——VOID
Sant Andreu U19 vs Huesca U19Football · U19. Youth Championship2026-10-11*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Polonia Warsaw II vs Ursus WarsawFootball · Livebet2026-10-11*Home -0.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Celik Zenica vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League2026-10-11*Away -0.5Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Eibar (W) B vs Real Oviedo (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-10*Home +0.5Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
FC Wettswill-Bonsetetten vs WinterthurFootball · Livebet2026-10-09*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——VOID
ZNK Split (W) vs NK Medimurje Cakovec (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-04*Home +1.5,+2.0Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Estonia U21 vs France U21Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage2026-09-29*Away -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Estonia U21 vs France U21Football · U21. Qualifying matches. Group stage2026-09-29*Away -1.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Coruxo vs GernikaFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——WON
Yeclano vs ElcheFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Yeclano vs ElcheFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Home 0.0Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
Novorizontino U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20Football · Livebet2026-09-27*Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Levanger vs GrorudFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-09-27*Away +0.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Away -11st Half Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
FC Rapid 1923 (W) vs SSU Politehnica Timisoara (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Home +3Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
MKS Myszkow (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM II (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——WON
Sochaux U19 vs Lyon U19Football · U19. Youth League2026-09-20*Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Gernika vs UD LlaneraFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72——LOST
UC Ceares vs CD ColungaFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Estoril vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League2026-09-20*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——VOID
Dender vs Patro Eisden MaasmechelenFootball · Division 22026-09-20*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54——VOID

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–25 of 82· 34 won / 34 lost · −6.6u · −6.9% yield · of 215 total

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