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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Deportivo Maipu vs CA Guemes

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Deportivo MaipuHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.88+18847/251.88+1.88-0.53
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-25*

Mushuc Runa vs Orense

Football · Premier League. Relegation group

Lost

Over 1.5Mushuc Runa Goals

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-19*

Al-Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun Buraydah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - Al Qadisiya Al KhubarHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-24 · tipped 4d 2h before

Sporting Lisbon U19 vs LASK U19

Football · U19. League phase

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-21 · tipped 3d 2h before

Wisla Krakow (W) vs Respekt Myslenice (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

AwayDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Mainz (w) vs Wolfsburg (w)

Football · Women. Bundesliga

Won

Away - Wolfsburg (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Kisvarda vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Unam Pumas (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Maccabi Bnei Reine vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Football · Liga Leumit

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-19 · tipped 2d before

Doxa Lefkadas vs Promitheas

Basketball · Livebet

Lost

Away Spread -1.54th Quarter Lines

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

Polonia Warsaw U19 vs Rakow Czestochowa U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5Rakow Czestochowa U19 Goals

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

TSV Grafenstein vs ASKO Kottmannsdorf

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

Bijelo Brdo vs Orijent

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

Doxa Lefkadas vs Promitheas

Basketball · Livebet

Lost

Away -8.5Alternative Point Spread

Tipster odds
2.62+16281/501.62+1.62-0.62
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

Spartans FC vs Stranraer

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

Sporting FC vs Alexandria Petroleum

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-14*

MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSE

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - MTK Budapest IIHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Schalke U19 vs Fortuna Dusseldorf U19

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.48+14837/251.48+1.48-0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Sant Andreu U19 vs Huesca U19

Football · U19. Youth Championship

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Polonia Warsaw II vs Ursus Warsaw

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Benfica vs Guimaraes

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Celik Zenica vs Sarajevo

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Deportivo Maipu vs CA GuemesFootball · Livebet2026-10-25*Home - Deportivo MaipuHalf Time/Full Time2.88+18847/251.88+1.88-0.53——WON
Mushuc Runa vs OrenseFootball · Premier League. Relegation group2026-10-19*Over 1.5Mushuc Runa Goals2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Al-Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League2026-10-24tipped 4d 2h beforeAway - Al Qadisiya Al KhubarHalf Time/Full Time2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——LOST
Sporting Lisbon U19 vs LASK U19Football · U19. League phase2026-10-21tipped 3d 2h beforeAway 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55——LOST
Wisla Krakow (W) vs Respekt Myslenice (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*AwayDraw No Bet2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——WON
Mainz (w) vs Wolfsburg (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga2026-10-18*Away - Wolfsburg (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Kisvarda vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*Over 2Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*Home - Unam Pumas (W)Half Time/Full Time1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*Over 2Goal Line1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Academia Puerto Cabello vs MonagasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-10-18*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Maccabi Bnei Reine vs Hapoel Rishon LezionFootball · Liga Leumit2026-10-19tipped 2d beforeYesBoth Teams To Score2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Doxa Lefkadas vs PromitheasBasketball · Livebet2026-10-17*Away Spread -1.54th Quarter Lines2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Polonia Warsaw U19 vs Rakow Czestochowa U19Football · Livebet2026-10-18*Over 1.5Rakow Czestochowa U19 Goals1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
TSV Grafenstein vs ASKO KottmannsdorfFootball · Livebet2026-10-17*Over 2Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Bijelo Brdo vs OrijentFootball · Livebet2026-10-17*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Doxa Lefkadas vs PromitheasBasketball · Livebet2026-10-17*Away -8.5Alternative Point Spread2.62+16281/501.62+1.62-0.62——LOST
Spartans FC vs StranraerFootball · Livebet2026-10-17*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Sporting FC vs Alexandria PetroleumFootball · Livebet2026-10-14*Over 2.5Goal Line3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41——LOST
MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSEFootball · Livebet2026-10-11*Home - MTK Budapest IIHalf Time/Full Time3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36——WON
Schalke U19 vs Fortuna Dusseldorf U19Football · Livebet2026-10-11*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.48+14837/251.48+1.48-0.68——VOID
Sant Andreu U19 vs Huesca U19Football · U19. Youth Championship2026-10-11*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Polonia Warsaw II vs Ursus WarsawFootball · Livebet2026-10-11*Home -0.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Benfica vs GuimaraesFootball · Livebet2026-10-11*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Celik Zenica vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League2026-10-11*Away -0.5Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

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