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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Wisla Krakow (W) vs Respekt Myslenice (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

AwayDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Wisla Krakow (W) vs Respekt Myslenice (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*AwayDraw No Bet2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——WON
ASD Pineto Calcio vs LivornoFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*HomeDraw No Bet1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67——VOID
Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-16*HomeDraw No Bet2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——VOID

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–3 of 3· 1 won / 0 lost · +1.5u · +150.0% yield · of 215 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.