black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

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Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=89

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

104

89 graded · 15 void

Win rate

39.3%

95% CI 30%–50%

Profit

−21.6u

over 115u staked

Yield

−18.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 89

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±26.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Asian handicap	39	38.2%	−15.2u
Unmapped	28	33.3%	−4.0u
Asian over under	19	58.3%	+3.4u
Over/Under	15	40.0%	−4.7u
Draw no bet	2	—	—
Handicap	1	—	−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Livebet	63	43.4%	−7.6u
Premier League	9	—	−3.3u
Superleague	5	—	+0.8u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page	3	—	−4.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page	3	—	−6.0u
Women. Primera division Women. Primera division league page	3	—	−4.0u
Liga Leumit Liga Leumit league page	2	—	+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana Primera B Metropolitana league page	2	—	−1.0u
U20. Women. Group stage	2	—	−4.0u
2 division 2 division league page	1	—	−1.0u
Bundesliga 2 Bundesliga 2 league page	1	—	+1.4u
League 1	1	—	—

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 38h before kickoff — median over 13 picks with a captured kickoff.

ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds: 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-29

Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds: 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-16

Match	Played	Selection	Tipster odds	Feed close	Score	Result
ASD Pineto Calcio vs LivornoFootball · Livebet	2026-08-29	HomeDraw No Bet	1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67	—	—	VOID
Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)Football · Livebet	2026-08-16	HomeDraw No Bet	2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80	—	—	VOID

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.