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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

38

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=89

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

104

89 graded · 15 void

Win rate

39.3%

95% CI 30%–50%

Profit

−21.6u

over 115u staked

Yield

−18.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L4

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 89

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±26.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3938.2%−15.2u
Unmapped2833.3%−4.0u
Asian over under1958.3%+3.4u
Over/Under1540.0%−4.7u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet6343.4%−7.6u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague5—+0.8u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U20. Women. Group stage2—−4.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 38h before kickoff — median over 13 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Wolfsburg (w) vs Werder Bremen (w)

Football · Women. Bundesliga

Won

Over 4Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Group stage

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-07 · tipped 26h before

Nasaf vs Neftchi Fargona

Football · Superleague

Won

Over 7Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-04*

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Void

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30 · tipped 20h before

GV San Jose vs Real Oruro

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Haifa

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 51st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
0:7

2026-08-25*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Football · Superleague

Void

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 4Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare

Football · Superleague

Lost

Over 6Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Pardubice U19 vs Teplice U19

Football · U19. Youth league

Void

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-12 · tipped 38h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Wolfsburg (w) vs Werder Bremen (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga2026-09-06*Over 4Goal Line1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——WON
Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Over 1Goal Line2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Group stage2026-09-07tipped 26h beforeOver 11st Half Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Nasaf vs Neftchi FargonaFootball · Superleague2026-09-04*Over 7Goal Line2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55——WON
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Over 1Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——VOID
Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San CarlosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-30tipped 20h beforeOver 2Goal Line1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
GV San Jose vs Real OruroFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 5Goal Line1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi HaifaFootball · Premier League2026-08-25*Over 51st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80—0:7WON
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00—1:2VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 2Goal Line1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85—2:1WON
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 11st Half Goal Line2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——LOST
Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——VOID
Motor Lublin vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-16*Over 1Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Sporting Cristal vs Sport HuancayoFootball · Premier League2026-08-16*Over 4Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Flora Tallinn vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague2026-08-16*Over 6Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Pardubice U19 vs Teplice U19Football · U19. Youth league2026-08-12tipped 38h beforeOver 2Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——VOID

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–19 of 19· 7 won / 5 lost · +3.4u · +18.9% yield · of 104 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.