Aarhus Fremad vs Vejle
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 12h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12h before
Football · Division 2. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 11h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 11h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 11h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 11h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 11h before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 11h before
Football · 1st Division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 11h before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 11h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10h before
Football · K League 4
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8h before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League. Quarter-finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · USL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · USL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad vs VejleFootball · 1st Division | first seen 12h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Honefoss vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 12h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Umea vs VasalundFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 11h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Nomme Kalju vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 11h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| St. Pauli vs KaiserslauternFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 11h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1:2 | LOST |
| Magdeburg vs Holstein KielFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 11h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| Saarbrucken vs Hansa RostockFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 11h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Hvidovre vs FredericiaFootball · 1st Division | first seen 11h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Hillerod vs HobroFootball · 1st Division | first seen 11h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| FBK Karlstad vs PiteaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 11h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Gangwon FC vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 10h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| FC Gwangju vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| Utrecht vs PSVFootball · Premier League | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 1:6 | WON |
| Sejong SA vs Seoul JungnangFootball · K League 4 | first seen 12h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-5 | WON |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 1:3 | WON |
| Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 4:1 | WON |
| Unicov vs Unie HlubinaFootball · League 3 | first seen 8h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Saitama Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 8:4 | WON |
| Queensland Lions vs Peninsula PowerFootball · Queensland. National Premier League. Quarter-finals | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.78 · +6.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Sutherland Sharks vs Southern Districts RaidersFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Wollongong Wolves vs Manly UnitedFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Marconi Stallions vs NWS SpiritFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Phoenix Rising vs Indy ElevenFootball · USL | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| San Diego vs LA GalaxyFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.68 · −2.3% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston BatteryFootball · USL | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.02 · −1.5% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.