Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Basketball · VBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow vs OrenburgFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Mansfield Town vs Luton TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 5-2 | LOST |
| NSI Runavik vs AB ArgirFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Flora Tallinn vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Hatta Dubai vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| AVS vs FeirenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Freiburg vs Werder BremenFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Levanger vs LorenskogFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.47 · +13.1% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Tre Fiori vs PennarossaFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Farul Constanta vs BotosaniFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.90 · +1.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Virtus vs La FioritaFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Slovan Liberec vs Hradec KraloveFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Chelsea vs BrightonFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Paris FC vs NiceFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3:0 | WON |
| Sunderland vs FulhamFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Feyenoord vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Ha Noi vs Saigon HeatBasketball · VBA | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 90:82 | WON |
| Arka Gdynia vs Polonia BytomFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Willem II vs HeerenveenFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| AIK vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League | first seen 12h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.60 · +18.5% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Melaka vs Negeri SembilanFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Rodina Moscow vs BaltikaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 12h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 1.98 · −12.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Lyngby vs OdenseFootball · Superleague | first seen 12h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sion vs LuganoFootball · Superleague | first seen 12h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.