Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3910
3909 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−207.7u
over 3909u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 722 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1479 | 62.5%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
806
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1985 | 68.6% | −83.8u |
| Match winner | 1925 | 60.5% | −123.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 67.3% | −20.5u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 67 | 52.2% | −14.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3910 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 37m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Vojvodina Novi Sad vs ZemunFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Union Brescia vs Desenzano CalvinaFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.57 · +6.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Almeria vs CadizFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 8-10 | WON |
| Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad BolivarFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Temperley vs CA ColegialesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Espanyol vs SevillaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| CD Maipu vs Patronato ParanaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Floresta vs MaringaFootball · Serie C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cruzeiro vs Atletico ParanaenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 4.30+33033/103.30+3.30-0.30from 4.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2:1 | LOST |
| Cittadella vs LumezzaneFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Ospitaletto vs Arzignano ValchiampoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Independiente Petrolero vs BolivarFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Marseille vs Paris FCFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| Juventus vs MilanFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 8-6 | LOST |
| Almagro vs Gimnasia y Esgrima JujuyFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun SpartansFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Panathinaikos vs PAOKFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| San Martin San Juan vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo LaferrereFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Celje vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.