Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3907
3906 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.1u
over 3906u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 721 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1478 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1493 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
803
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1983 | 68.6% | −83.2u |
| Match winner | 1924 | 60.5% | −124.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 67.3% | −20.5u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 188 | 59.6% | +17.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 77 | 63.6% | −5.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 67 | 52.2% | −14.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3907 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · 3rd place. Houston
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Reserve League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie D. Promotion/Relegation. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Women. NWSL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Leon vs Club AmericaFootball · 3rd place. Houston | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Ponte Preta vs Sao BernardoFootball · Serie B | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Tachira vs Rayo ZulianoFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Botafogo RJ vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.15 · +0.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Isidro Metapan (r) vs INCA (r)Football · Reserve League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Delfin vs Universidad Catolica QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.00 · −13.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Atletico Balboa vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Trujillanos vs CaracasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Monagas vs Metropolitanos FCFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.50 · −18.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Union Comercio vs Deportivo Universidad San MartínFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 4.80+38019/53.80+3.80-0.26from 4.50 · −6.3% CLV | 1-1 | WON |
| Lanus vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| ASA Arapiraca vs UberlandiaFootball · Serie D. Promotion/Relegation. First leg | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Portland Thorns (w) vs Washington Spirit (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Seattle Mariners vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2:9 | LOST |
| Rentistas vs Atletico FenixFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Central Norte vs Almirante BrownFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Chicago Red Stars (w) vs North Carolina Courage (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Huachipato vs Colo ColoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.65 · +17.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Coban Imperial vs Deportivo GuastatoyaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Vojvodina Novi Sad vs ZemunFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.