Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 11-1
· first seen 42m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3946
3945 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.0u
over 3945u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 733 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
842
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1945 | 60.4% | −127.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 97 | 60.8% | −9.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3946 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 25h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Ligue 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 29m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 14m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 11-1 | LOST |
| Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 17-3 | LOST |
| Academia Puerto Cabello vs Academia AnzoateguiFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo PereiraFootball · Serie A | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Washington Nationals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 25h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 6-2 | WON |
| Encarnacion vs Benjamin AcevalFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Barcelona vs Rayo VallecanoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.13 · +2.7% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Breidablik vs StjarnanFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Benfica vs EstorilFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Braga vs Vitoria GuimaraesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| HNK Gorica vs RijekaFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 4:0 | LOST |
| Aston Villa vs ArsenalFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 59m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Treviso vs LeccoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Desenzano Calvina vs TrentoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Renate vs CittadellaFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Albinoleffe vs OspitalettoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Dijon vs Saint EtienneFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 44m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| Atalanta vs BolognaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Besiktas vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 29m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV | 6-2 | WON |
| Racing Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 29m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Amedspor vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.97 · −5.3% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Novara vs CarateseFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Wil 1900 vs AarauFootball · Challenge League | first seen 14m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.