Rochdale vs Shrewsbury Town
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 45m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3945
3944 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−213.0u
over 3944u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 733 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1489 | 62.3%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
841
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2000 | 68.5% | −85.1u |
| Match winner | 1945 | 60.4% | −127.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3945 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Challenge League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Bundesliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Challenge League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Challenge League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Challenge League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 15m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale vs Shrewsbury TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Crewe Alexandra vs WalsallFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Zurich vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.73 · +13.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Al Tadamon vs Al SalmiyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.68 · +3.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Rapperswil-Jona vs KriensFootball · Challenge League | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kruger United vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Wolfsberger AC vs LASKFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.73 · +23.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Bocholt vs BonnerFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Durban City vs StellenboschFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Neuchatel Xamax vs Yverdon SportFootball · Challenge League | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Nyonnais vs WinterthurFootball · Challenge League | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Frederikshavn vs RodovreIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.25 · +18.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Wadi Degla vs Olympic El QanalFootball · Premier League | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Horn vs SC/ESV ParndorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 13m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Teleoptik vs VozdovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Boluspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Helsingborg vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ghazl El Mahalla vs ENPPIFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Umraniyespor vs MuglasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Tigre vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 11-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.