St. Pauli vs Greuther Furth
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3946
3945 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.0u
over 3945u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 733 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
842
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1945 | 60.4% | −127.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 97 | 60.8% | −9.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3946 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · 2 division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · League 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Ice Hockey · AIHL League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Ice Hockey · AIHL League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · AIHL League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Queensland. Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10h before
Ice Hockey · AIHL League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli vs Greuther FurthFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi HengchenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Vasalund vs Stockholm InternazionaleFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Umea vs AFC EskilstunaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.90 · +11.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hvidovre vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Naestved BK vs HIK HellerupFootball · 2 division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Rana vs SkeidFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Helmond Sport vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Zorya vs KryvbasFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Farense vs TorreenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen JuniorsFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki FrontaleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Slovan 2 Bratislava vs SamorinFootball · League 2 | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Amstetten vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 1 | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Sigma 2 Olomouc vs Slovacko 2Football · League 3 | first seen 36m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.38 · +0.7% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Hradec Kralove 2 vs Pardubice 2Football · League 3 | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Karvina 2 vs SC Uhersky BrodFootball · League 3 | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Perth Thunder vs Melbourne MustangsIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 21m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Adelaide Adrenaline vs Brisbane LightningIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 6-7 | LOST |
| Sydney Bears vs Central Coast RhinosIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Brisbane Strikers vs Redlands UnitedFootball · Queensland. Premier League | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 5.20+42021/54.20+4.20-0.24from 4.90 · −5.8% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Newcastle North Stars vs Sydney Ice DogsIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.