Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 43m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · USL. League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 53m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3d 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3d 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superliga
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Basketball · NBL 1. West. Final
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown AzzurriFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 8-0 | WON |
| FC San Antonio vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Spokane Velocity vs Corpus ChristiFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Alianza Lima vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Union Espanola vs San Marcos AricaFootball · Serie B | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Deportes Copiapo vs Curico UnidoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3d 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Neman Grodno vs MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Inter Bratislava vs Slovan GalantaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Alverca vs Estrela AmadoraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Unie Hlubina vs Sigma 2 OlomoucFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Ujpest vs MTK BudapestFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.88 · −1.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| SC Uhersky Brod vs HraniceFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Vushtrria vs MalishevaFootball · Superliga | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-6 | WON |
| IF Karlstad vs Assyriska SodertaljeFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Maidenhead United vs Dorking WanderersFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Dover Athletic vs Slough TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Horsham vs SalisburyFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Koge vs HvidovreFootball · 1st Division | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Stranraer vs Spartans EdinburghFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Forfar vs Stirling AlbionFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| VSK Aarhus vs ThistedFootball · 2 division | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Oxford United vs Milton Keynes DonsFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Rockingham Flames vs Geraldton BuccaneersBasketball · NBL 1. West. Final | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 66-62 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.