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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3917

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3918

3917 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3917u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72855.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149570.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

814

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3917

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198768.5%−84.4u
Match winner193160.5%−124.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 3h before

Once Caldas vs America de Cali

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Necaxa vs Leon

Football · Liga MX

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-18 · first seen 53m before

Palestino vs Huachipato

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.58 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 23m before

Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Recoleta

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 23m before

Decic Tuzi vs Bokelj

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Hacken vs Halmstads

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 3h before

Noah vs Alashkert

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Birkirkara vs Gzira United

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 1h before

Austin vs Dallas

Football · MLS

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 25m before

Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Diablos Rojos

Basketball · LNBP

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
66-71

2026-08-17 · first seen 5h before

Olmecas de Tabasco vs Bravos de Leon

Baseball · LMB. Round of 16. Best of 7

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-17 · first seen 53m before

Cajamarca vs Universitario Lima

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.70 · −1.7% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Moquegua vs Sport Boys

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 9m before

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Football · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Atletico Fenix vs Plaza Colonia

Football · Segunda Division

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Valletta vs Zabbar St. Patrick

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Brinje Grosuplje vs Mura

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-5

2026-08-17 · first seen 3h before

Rentistas vs Tacuarembo

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.95 · +4.3% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Leixoes vs Tondela

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Polanka nad Odrou vs Vitkovice

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Skeid vs Levanger

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Sandefjord vs KFUM OsloFootball · Superleague2026-08-07first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-1LOST
Once Caldas vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A2026-08-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-1LOST
Necaxa vs LeonFootball · Liga MX2026-08-18first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-2LOST
Palestino vs HuachipatoFootball · Serie A2026-08-18first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.58 · 0.0% CLV5-1WON
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B2026-08-18first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Decic Tuzi vs BokeljFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV1-0WON
Hacken vs HalmstadsFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV1-0WON
Noah vs AlashkertFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Birkirkara vs Gzira UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—4-0WON
Polissya Zhytomyr vs ZoryaFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV1-2LOST
Austin vs DallasFootball · MLS2026-08-17first seen 25m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Diablos RojosBasketball · LNBP2026-08-17first seen 5h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—66-71WON
Olmecas de Tabasco vs Bravos de LeonBaseball · LMB. Round of 16. Best of 72026-08-17first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—4-3WON
Cajamarca vs Universitario LimaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.70 · −1.7% CLV2-3LOST
Deportivo Moquegua vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 9m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.55 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente ChivilcoyFootball · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-0WON
Atletico Fenix vs Plaza ColoniaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-4WON
Valletta vs Zabbar St. PatrickFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV4-2WON
Brinje Grosuplje vs MuraFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2LOST
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-17first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived—6-5LOST
Rentistas vs TacuaremboFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.95 · +4.3% CLV0-1LOST
Stal Mielec vs Polonia BytomFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—5-2WON
Leixoes vs TondelaFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-0WON
Polanka nad Odrou vs VitkoviceFootball · League 32026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-0WON
Skeid vs LevangerFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-16first seen 58m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-5WON

2476–2500 of 3918

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.