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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

35

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=66

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

80

66 graded · 14 void

Win rate

34.8%

95% CI 24%–47%

Profit

−24.8u

over 83u staked

Yield

−29.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

4

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−25.8u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-08-30

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 66

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±22.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap2829.2%−18.7u
Unmapped2430.4%−5.4u
Asian over under14—+1.1u
Over/Under1145.5%−0.8u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet5336.4%−16.0u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague3—−2.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——
Round of 16. Second leg↗Round of 16. Second leg league page1—−1.0u
Serie A1—+3.0u
Serie A. Season 26/27↗Serie A. Season 26/27 league page1—−1.0u

Recent settled picks

FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Haifa

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 51st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
0:7

2026-08-25*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-25*

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

America de Cali vs Junior Barranquilla

Football · Serie A

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

River Plate vs Independiente Santa Fe

Football · Round of 16. Second leg

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-27*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banaat vs Nasaf

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 4.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29 · tipped 5d 23h before

Frosinone vs Juventus

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Lost

Over 1.5Juventus Goals

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan Balazote

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Naestved BK vs VSK Aarhus

Football · 2 division

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Vittsjo GIK (w) vs IFK Norrkoping (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Void

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 6.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty LvivFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48——LOST
Verl vs Fortuna CologneFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 1.5Goal Line2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi HaifaFootball · Premier League2026-08-25*Over 51st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80—0:7WON
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73—1:2LOST
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00—1:2VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87—2:1VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 2Goal Line1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85—2:1WON
Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—1:1LOST
Aldosivi vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Livebet2026-08-26*Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——WON
America de Cali vs Junior BarranquillaFootball · Serie A2026-08-26*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33——WON
River Plate vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Round of 16. Second leg2026-08-27*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44—1:1LOST
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home -1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Banaat vs NasafFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 4.5Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League2026-08-29tipped 5d 23h beforeOver 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Frosinone vs JuventusFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-23*Over 1.5Juventus Goals2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan BalazoteFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2.5Goal Line2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——LOST
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 11st Half Goal Line2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——LOST
Naestved BK vs VSK AarhusFootball · 2 division2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Vittsjo GIK (w) vs IFK Norrkoping (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-08-23*Home 0.0Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——VOID
KuPS Kuopio vs IFK MariehamnFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 6.5Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

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