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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

35

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=66

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

80

66 graded · 14 void

Win rate

34.8%

95% CI 24%–47%

Profit

−24.8u

over 83u staked

Yield

−29.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

4

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−25.8u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-08-30

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 66

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±22.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap2829.2%−18.7u
Unmapped2430.4%−5.4u
Asian over under14—+1.1u
Over/Under1145.5%−0.8u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet5336.4%−16.0u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague3—−2.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——
Round of 16. Second leg↗Round of 16. Second leg league page1—−1.0u
Serie A1—+3.0u
Serie A. Season 26/27↗Serie A. Season 26/27 league page1—−1.0u

Recent settled picks

Clear

Philippines vs Iran

Basketball · Livebet

Lost

Away -1.5Game Lines

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 5.5Glasgow City (W) Goals

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGB

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Al Nasr SC U23 vs Al Ain SCC U23

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Leon U19 (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal B

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal B

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 3.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

GV San Jose vs Real Oruro

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol Hostoun

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-25*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Philippines vs IranBasketball · Livebet2026-08-30*Away -1.5Game Lines1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Over 5.5Glasgow City (W) Goals2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——WON
RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGBFootball · Livebet2026-08-30*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home -1Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Al Nasr SC U23 vs Al Ain SCC U23Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home +1.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Over 1Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——VOID
Leon U19 (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal BFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Home 0.0Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal BFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 3.5Goal Line5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22——LOST
ASD Pineto Calcio vs LivornoFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*HomeDraw No Bet1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67——VOID
GV San Jose vs Real OruroFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 5Goal Line1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol HostounFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——WON
Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty LvivFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48——LOST
Verl vs Fortuna CologneFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 1.5Goal Line2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73—1:2LOST
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00—1:2VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87—2:1VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 2Goal Line1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85—2:1WON
Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—1:1LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–25 of 53· 16 won / 28 lost · −16.0u · −29.1% yield · of 80 total

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