black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

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Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=66

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

66 graded · 14 void

Win rate

34.8%

95% CI 24%–47%

Profit

−24.8u

over 83u staked

Yield

−29.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−25.8u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-08-30

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 66

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±22.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Asian handicap	28	29.2%	−18.7u
Unmapped	24	30.4%	−5.4u
Asian over under	14	—	+1.1u
Over/Under	11	45.5%	−0.8u
Draw no bet	2	—	—
Handicap	1	—	−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Livebet	53	36.4%	−16.0u
Premier League	9	—	−3.3u
Superleague	3	—	−2.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page	3	—	−6.0u
Liga Leumit Liga Leumit league page	2	—	+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana Primera B Metropolitana league page	2	—	−1.0u
2 division 2 division league page	1	—	−1.0u
Bundesliga 2 Bundesliga 2 league page	1	—	+1.4u
League 1	1	—	—
Round of 16. Second leg Round of 16. Second leg league page	1	—	−1.0u
Serie A	1	—	+3.0u
Serie A. Season 26/27 Serie A. Season 26/27 league page	1	—	−1.0u

Recent settled picks

River Plate vs Independiente Santa Fe

Football · Round of 16. Second leg

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds: 3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44
Feed close: —
Score: 1:1

2026-08-27

Match	Played	Selection	Tipster odds	Feed close	Score	Result
River Plate vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Round of 16. Second leg	2026-08-27	Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves	3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44	—	1:1	LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

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