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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

35

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=66

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

80

66 graded · 14 void

Win rate

34.8%

95% CI 24%–47%

Profit

−24.8u

over 83u staked

Yield

−29.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

4

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−25.8u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-08-30

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 66

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±22.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap2829.2%−18.7u
Unmapped2430.4%−5.4u
Asian over under14—+1.1u
Over/Under1145.5%−0.8u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet5336.4%−16.0u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague3—−2.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——
Round of 16. Second leg↗Round of 16. Second leg league page1—−1.0u
Serie A1—+3.0u
Serie A. Season 26/27↗Serie A. Season 26/27 league page1—−1.0u

Recent settled picks

Clear

Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGB

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - Al Ittihad JeddahHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 23h before

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
4.50+3507/23.50+3.50-0.29
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30 · tipped 19h before

FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol Hostoun

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-25*

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

America de Cali vs Junior Barranquilla

Football · Serie A

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

River Plate vs Independiente Santa Fe

Football · Round of 16. Second leg

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-27*

Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Naestved BK vs VSK Aarhus

Football · 2 division

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

PAOK Salonika vs SK Brann

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20*

Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield Rangers

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Football · League 1

Void

Home - CSKA SofiaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Lazio vs Mantova

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923

Football · Livebet

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

NoBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi Beograd

Football · Superleague

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGBFootball · Livebet2026-08-30*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 23h beforeAway - Al Ittihad JeddahHalf Time/Full Time3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42——LOST
Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San CarlosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-30tipped 19h beforeYesBoth Teams To Score4.50+3507/23.50+3.50-0.29——LOST
FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol HostounFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——WON
FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty LvivFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48——LOST
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73—1:2LOST
Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—1:1LOST
Aldosivi vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Livebet2026-08-26*Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——WON
America de Cali vs Junior BarranquillaFootball · Serie A2026-08-26*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33——WON
River Plate vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Round of 16. Second leg2026-08-27*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44—1:1LOST
Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Naestved BK vs VSK AarhusFootball · 2 division2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
PAOK Salonika vs SK BrannFootball · Livebet2026-08-20*Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield RangersFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——WON
CSKA Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 12026-08-16*Home - CSKA SofiaHalf Time/Full Time2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——VOID
Lazio vs MantovaFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923Football · Livebet2026-08-16*YesBoth Teams To Score1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)Football · Livebet—NoBoth Teams To Score1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague—Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FCFootball · Livebet—Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
NK Celje vs Ararat ArmeniaFootball · Livebet—Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–24 of 24· 7 won / 16 lost · −5.4u · −23.4% yield · of 80 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.