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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

35

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=66

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

80

66 graded · 14 void

Win rate

34.8%

95% CI 24%–47%

Profit

−24.8u

over 83u staked

Yield

−29.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

4

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−25.8u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-08-30

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 66

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±22.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap2829.2%−18.7u
Unmapped2430.4%−5.4u
Asian over under14—+1.1u
Over/Under1145.5%−0.8u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet5336.4%−16.0u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague3—−2.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——
Round of 16. Second leg↗Round of 16. Second leg league page1—−1.0u
Serie A1—+3.0u
Serie A. Season 26/27↗Serie A. Season 26/27 league page1—−1.0u

Recent settled picks

Clear

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - Al Ittihad JeddahHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 23h before

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 23h before

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 22h before

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Haifa

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 51st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
0:7

2026-08-25*

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29 · tipped 5d 23h before

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 4Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away -1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Over 2.5Braga Goals

Tipster odds
3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 23h beforeAway - Al Ittihad JeddahHalf Time/Full Time3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42——LOST
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 23h beforeAway 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 22h beforeAway -0.5Asian Handicap2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi HaifaFootball · Premier League2026-08-25*Over 51st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80—0:7WON
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League2026-08-29tipped 5d 23h beforeOver 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Sporting Cristal vs Sport HuancayoFootball · Premier League2026-08-16*Over 4Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Away -1.0Asian Handicap1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——LOST
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Over 2.5Braga Goals3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–9 of 9· 3 won / 6 lost · −3.3u · −30.0% yield · of 80 total

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