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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

35

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=66

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

80

66 graded · 14 void

Win rate

34.8%

95% CI 24%–47%

Profit

−24.8u

over 83u staked

Yield

−29.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

4

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−25.8u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-08-30

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 66

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±22.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap2829.2%−18.7u
Unmapped2430.4%−5.4u
Asian over under14—+1.1u
Over/Under1145.5%−0.8u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet5336.4%−16.0u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague3—−2.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——
Round of 16. Second leg↗Round of 16. Second leg league page1—−1.0u
Serie A1—+3.0u
Serie A. Season 26/27↗Serie A. Season 26/27 league page1—−1.0u

Recent settled picks

Clear

Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Al Nasr SC U23 vs Al Ain SCC U23

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Leon U19 (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal B

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 23h before

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 22h before

Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28*

Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28*

Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Vittsjo GIK (w) vs IFK Norrkoping (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Void

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Football · Livebet

Void

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

PAOK Salonika vs SK Brann

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20*

Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18 · tipped 45h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96Football · Bundesliga 22026-08-30*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68——WON
Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home -1Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Al Nasr SC U23 vs Al Ain SCC U23Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home +1.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Leon U19 (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal BFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Home 0.0Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 23h beforeAway 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 22h beforeAway -0.5Asian Handicap2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-08-28*Home -1Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-08-28*Home -1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87—2:1VOID
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home -1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——LOST
Vittsjo GIK (w) vs IFK Norrkoping (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-08-23*Home 0.0Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——VOID
Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home +1.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske VeseleFootball · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——VOID
Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Home -1Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
PAOK Salonika vs SK BrannFootball · Livebet2026-08-20*Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar SabaFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18tipped 45h beforeAway 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–25 of 28· 7 won / 17 lost · −18.7u · −51.9% yield · of 80 total

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