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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

35

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=66

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

80

66 graded · 14 void

Win rate

34.8%

95% CI 24%–47%

Profit

−24.8u

over 83u staked

Yield

−29.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

4

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−25.8u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-08-30

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 66

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±22.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap2829.2%−18.7u
Unmapped2430.4%−5.4u
Asian over under14—+1.1u
Over/Under1145.5%−0.8u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet5336.4%−16.0u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague3—−2.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——
Round of 16. Second leg↗Round of 16. Second leg league page1—−1.0u
Serie A1—+3.0u
Serie A. Season 26/27↗Serie A. Season 26/27 league page1—−1.0u

Recent settled picks

Clear

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banaat vs Nasaf

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 4.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan Balazote

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 6.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Football · Livebet

Void

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

PAOK Salonika vs SK Brann

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20*

PAOK Salonika vs SK Brann

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20*

Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield Rangers

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Lazio vs Mantova

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923

Football · Livebet

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

NoBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Nautico vs Atletico GO

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Aldosivi vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Livebet2026-08-26*Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——WON
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home -1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Banaat vs NasafFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 4.5Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan BalazoteFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2.5Goal Line2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——LOST
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 11st Half Goal Line2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——LOST
KuPS Kuopio vs IFK MariehamnFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 6.5Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home +1.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske VeseleFootball · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——VOID
Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Home -1Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——VOID
PAOK Salonika vs SK BrannFootball · Livebet2026-08-20*Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
PAOK Salonika vs SK BrannFootball · Livebet2026-08-20*Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield RangersFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——WON
Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-16*HomeDraw No Bet2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——VOID
Lazio vs MantovaFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923Football · Livebet2026-08-16*YesBoth Teams To Score1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)Football · Livebet—NoBoth Teams To Score1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Nautico vs Atletico GOFootball · Livebet—Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

26–50 of 53· 16 won / 28 lost · −16.0u · −29.1% yield · of 80 total

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