Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3686

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3687

3686 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.4%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−209.6u

over 3686u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claims	Picks	Measured	95% CI	Gap
30–40%avg claim 39%	1	—	—	—
40–50%avg claim 46%	7	—	—	—
50–60%avg claim 56%	671	54.5%51%–58%	51%–58%	−1.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%	1403	62.2%60%–65%	60%–65%	−4.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%	1407	70.6%68%–73%	68%–73%	−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%	191	71.7%65%–78%	65%–78%	−8.7pp
90–100%avg claim 90%	6	—	—	—

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−5pp

583

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3686

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±82.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Double chance	1881	68.3%	−85.6u
Match winner	1806	60.4%	−124.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Premier League	678	67.3%	−19.0u
Superleague	307	60.9%	−38.0u
League 1	304	67.1%	−11.7u
MLB MLB league page	168	59.5%	+14.7u
League 2	150	60.7%	−17.3u
Division 1	106	64.2%	−6.9u
Division 2	95	66.3%	−3.0u
Serie B	90	61.1%	−8.7u
Championship	68	64.7%	−5.0u
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional league page	68	61.8%	−6.1u
Serie A	63	54.0%	−12.3u
National league. North National league. North league page	54	61.1%	−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3687 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sport

League

Market

Result

Period

AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby Talang

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close: 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.50 · −10.7% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

Elfsborg vs Vasteras

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close: 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.78 · +12.7% CLV
Score: 3-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

Vaxjo (w) vs Djurgardens (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds: 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close: —
Score: 2-3

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

Magallanes vs Cobreloa

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds: 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close: —
Score: 2-2

2026-08-12 · first seen 47m before

SSV Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli 2

Football · Regional League. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds: 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close: —
Score: 2-0

2026-08-12 · first seen 2h before

Eintracht Norderstedt vs Kickers Emden

Football · Regional League. North

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: —
Score: 6-2

2026-08-12 · first seen 2h before

Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia

Football · Third qualifying round. Second leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: —
Score: 0-1

2026-08-11 · first seen 58m before

Oriental La-Paz vs Atenas San Carlos

Football · Segunda Division

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds: 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close: —
Score: 0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

OFK Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: —
Score: 2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo 1924

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds: 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close: —
Score: 1-2