Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3676
3675 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−207.3u
over 3675u staked
Yield
−5.6%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 667 | 54.7%51%–58% | −1.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1400 | 62.1%60%–65% | −4.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1403 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 191 | 71.7%65%–78% | −8.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−5pp
572
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±82.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1876 | 68.2% | −87.6u |
| Match winner | 1800 | 60.5% | −119.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 678 | 67.3% | −19.0u |
| Superleague | 307 | 60.9% | −38.0u |
| League 1 | 304 | 67.1% | −11.7u |
| MLBMLB league page | 168 | 59.5% | +14.7u |
| League 2 | 150 | 60.7% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 106 | 64.2% | −6.9u |
| Division 2 | 95 | 66.3% | −3.0u |
| Serie B | 90 | 61.1% | −8.7u |
| Championship | 68 | 64.7% | −5.0u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 68 | 61.8% | −6.1u |
| Serie A | 63 | 54.0% | −12.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3676 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-3 | LOST |
| Torquay United vs Weston SMFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Maidstone United vs Folkestone InvictaFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Slough Town vs Farnham TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Merthyr Town vs TelfordFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.45 · +6.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Levski Sofia vs AEK AthensFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Horsham vs Hampton and Richmond BoroughFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 2.17 · +19.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Oxford City vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Brackley Town vs Kings Lynn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.12 · −1.4% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Bedford Town vs BuxtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Spalding United vs MacclesfieldFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs VikingFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Hereford vs RadcliffeFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Hednesford Town vs SouthportFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Morecambe vs South ShieldsFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Totton vs Dorking WanderersFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Dover Athletic vs Tonbridge AngelsFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Hebburn Town vs Worksop TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Marine vs ChorleyFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Darlington vs ChesterFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Fram Reykjavik vs StjarnanFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.88 · +4.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Casa Pia vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.20 · +4.3% CLV | 0-7 | WON |
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