Metalac vs Smederevo 1924
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3656
3655 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−202.8u
over 3655u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 657 | 54.9%51%–59% | −1.0pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1396 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1397 | 70.7%68%–73% | −4.2pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 191 | 71.7%65%–78% | −8.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
552
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±82.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1869 | 68.2% | −87.6u |
| Match winner | 1787 | 60.7% | −115.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 676 | 67.5% | −17.0u |
| Superleague | 307 | 60.9% | −38.0u |
| League 1 | 304 | 67.1% | −11.7u |
| MLBMLB league page | 161 | 59.6% | +14.6u |
| League 2 | 150 | 60.7% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 106 | 64.2% | −6.9u |
| Division 2 | 95 | 66.3% | −3.0u |
| Serie B | 90 | 61.1% | −8.7u |
| Championship | 68 | 64.7% | −5.0u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 68 | 61.8% | −6.1u |
| Serie A | 62 | 53.2% | −12.8u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3656 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Round of 16. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Liga Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalac vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 6-4 | LOST |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo GallantsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Javor Ivanjica vs Jedinstvo UbFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Teleoptik vs Napredak KrusevacFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| New York Mets vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-2 | LOST |
| Veles Moscow vs Nizhny NovgorodFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Sparta Prague vs TepliceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.33 · −2.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Ilbirs vs Dordoi BishkekFootball · Premier league | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Lysekloster vs Kvik HaldenFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Haverfordwest vs PenybontFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.20 · −4.3% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| The New Saints vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.18 · +9.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Kladno vs Sellier and Bellot VlasimFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.40 · −4.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dinamo Samarqand vs Xorazm UrganchFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.70 · +7.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Bolivar vs Sao PauloFootball · Round of 16. First leg | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Botosani vs HunedoaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Real Potosi vs Blooming Santa CruzFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.80 · +20.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Shanghai Port vs Dalian YingboFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Hanwha Eagles vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Spartak Kostroma vs UfaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Abejas de Leon vs Panteras de AguascalientesBasketball · LNBP | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 87-102 | LOST |
| Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora GuatemalaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.50 · −6.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Petrovac vs JezeroFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Erbil vs Al KahrabaaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.55 · −12.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.