Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3631
3630 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−204.2u
over 3630u staked
Yield
−5.6%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 651 | 55.0%51%–59% | −1.0pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1385 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1390 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 190 | 71.6%65%–78% | −8.8pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−5pp
527
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±81.9u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1856 | 68.1% | −90.0u |
| Match winner | 1775 | 60.7% | −114.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 668 | 67.4% | −17.7u |
| Superleague | 307 | 60.9% | −38.0u |
| League 1 | 303 | 67.0% | −12.0u |
| MLBMLB league page | 158 | 60.1% | +15.9u |
| League 2 | 150 | 60.7% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 106 | 64.2% | −6.9u |
| Division 2 | 95 | 66.3% | −3.0u |
| Serie B | 85 | 58.8% | −10.8u |
| Championship | 67 | 64.2% | −5.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 67 | 62.7% | −5.1u |
| Serie A | 59 | 54.2% | −11.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3631 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Round of 16. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4d 3h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 54m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · MLS
X2Double Chance
· first seen 11d 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4d 23h before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 7h before
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 7h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Zemplin Michalovce vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Macara vs Santos SPFootball · Round of 16. Second leg | first seen 4d 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Atletico Goianiense vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| JIPPO vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| United Nordic vs Varbergs BoISFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| RoPS vs KuPS 2 KuopioFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Royal Antwerp vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Trygg/Lade vs GrorudFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CityFootball · MLS | first seen 11d 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft AbadanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| TSG Hawks vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 8-6 | LOST |
| Preston Lions vs Melbourne City 2Football · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League | first seen 4d 23h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Angel City (w) vs Washington Spirit (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Juventud Unida Universitario vs Circulo DeportivoFootball · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31from 4.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| HB Torshavn vs B-68 ToftirFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rosengard vs UtsiktensFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.18 · +0.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Southport vs BuxtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Vidar vs ArendalFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.75 · +12.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| FC Gwangju vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| West Adelaide vs Playford City PatriotsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown CityFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Neom vs Al-FayhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.