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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3599

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3600

3599 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−201.7u

over 3599u staked

Yield

−5.6%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%64654.8%51%–59%51%–59%−1.2pp
60–70%avg claim 66%137162.1%59%–65%59%–65%−4.2pp
70–80%avg claim 75%137970.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.3pp
80–90%avg claim 80%18972.0%65%–78%65%–78%−8.5pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−5pp

496

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3599

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±81.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance183868.3%−83.4u
Match winner176260.5%−118.3u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League66267.2%−19.4u
Superleague30360.7%−38.6u
League 130066.7%−13.4u
MLB↗MLB league page15860.1%+15.9u
League 215060.7%−17.3u
Division 110465.4%−4.9u
Division 29566.3%−3.0u
Serie B8558.8%−10.8u
Championship6764.2%−5.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6363.5%−4.2u
Serie A5954.2%−11.3u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3600 picks with a captured kickoff.

Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 3h before

Torpedo Moscow vs Spartak Kostroma

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 3h before

Opava vs Trinec

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

Vejle vs Esbjerg

Football · 1st Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.52 · +6.3% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

Haka vs SJK Akatemia

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

FC Liepaja vs Grobinas

Football · Virsliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 1h before

Minsk vs Vitebsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 1h before

Pakhtakor vs Surkhon

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.18 · −5.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 1h before

Malisheva vs Drenica

Football · Superliga

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 1h before

Green Gully vs St Albans Saints

Football · Victoria.National Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-6

2026-08-20 · first seen 11h before

Bor 1919 vs Vozdovac

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-19 · first seen 3h before

Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-19 · first seen 2m before

Zalaegerszeg vs Ferencvaros

Football · National League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.47 · −8.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Burgos CF vs Cordoba

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Gaziantep BB vs Alanyaspor

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Arsenal Sarandi vs Talleres Remedios

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Villa Dalmine vs Brown Adrogue

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Zemplin Michalovce vs Komarno

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Macara vs Santos SP

Football · Round of 16. Second leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-20 · first seen 4d 3h before

Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

JIPPO vs SJK Akatemia

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

United Nordic vs Varbergs BoIS

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Floriana vs Sliema WanderersFootball · Premier League2026-08-21first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
Torpedo Moscow vs Spartak KostromaFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-21first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-0WON
Opava vs TrinecFootball · League 22026-08-21first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV2-2LOST
Vejle vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division2026-08-21first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.52 · +6.3% CLV4-2WON
Haka vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 12026-08-21first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV2-0WON
FC Liepaja vs GrobinasFootball · Virsliga2026-08-21first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV3-1WON
Minsk vs VitebskFootball · Premier League2026-08-21first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-1LOST
Pakhtakor vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague2026-08-21first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.18 · −5.6% CLV0-0LOST
Malisheva vs DrenicaFootball · Superliga2026-08-21first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Green Gully vs St Albans SaintsFootball · Victoria.National Premier League2026-08-21first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2LOST
Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB2026-08-20first seen 11h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived—4-6WON
Bor 1919 vs VozdovacFootball · League 12026-08-19first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-2WON
Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-19first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—0-3WON
Zalaegerszeg vs FerencvarosFootball · National League2026-08-17first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.47 · −8.1% CLV0-1WON
Deportivo Tachira vs MonagasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV3-2WON
Burgos CF vs CordobaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-2WON
Gaziantep BB vs AlanyasporFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-1WON
Arsenal Sarandi vs Talleres RemediosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1LOST
Villa Dalmine vs Brown AdrogueFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0WON
Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV0-0WON
Zemplin Michalovce vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV1-1LOST
Macara vs Santos SPFootball · Round of 16. Second leg2026-08-20first seen 4d 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-0WON
Atletico Goianiense vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV0-2LOST
JIPPO vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV0-1LOST
United Nordic vs Varbergs BoISFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-0WON

1826–1850 of 3600

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.