Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros Villavicencio
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3180
3179 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.3u
over 3179u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1243 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1222 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
79
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1661 | 68.5% | −72.0u |
| Match winner | 1519 | 61.1% | −92.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 570 | 67.2% | −16.2u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Liga Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · MLS
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Estrella Roja vs Olimpia TegucigalpaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Seattle Storm (w) vs Los Angeles Sparks (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 74-90 | LOST |
| Godoy Cruz vs Atletico San TelmoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| CRB vs CriciumaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.15 · −2.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Tachira vs CaracasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Columbus Crew vs New England RevolutionFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Orense vs MacaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Trujillanos vs MonagasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Sport Boys vs Sporting CristalFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.30 · −4.2% CLV | 4:1 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 2-5 | WON |
| Athletics vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 5-8 | WON |
| Argentinos Juniors vs AldosiviFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa FeFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Lumezzane vs Giana ErminioFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Teuta Durres vs FC TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Backa Topola vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cordoba vs GranadaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Famalicao vs Gil VicenteFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Celta vs Athletic BilbaoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Deportes Temuco vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Benevento vs SudtirolFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Corinthians SP vs Santos SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.