Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3480
3479 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−190.8u
over 3479u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 627 | 54.9%51%–59% | −1.1pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1326 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.4pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1330 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 182 | 72.5%66%–78% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
376
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±80.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1772 | 68.3% | −80.4u |
| Match winner | 1708 | 60.7% | −110.4u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 640 | 67.2% | −19.2u |
| League 1 | 286 | 66.1% | −14.7u |
| Superleague | 284 | 61.3% | −34.3u |
| MLBMLB league page | 158 | 60.1% | +15.9u |
| League 2 | 146 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 102 | 64.7% | −5.8u |
| Division 2 | 92 | 66.3% | −3.3u |
| Serie B | 82 | 57.3% | −11.9u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 63 | 63.5% | −4.2u |
| Championship | 61 | 65.6% | −3.5u |
| Serie A | 59 | 54.2% | −11.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3480 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Tunisien vs CS SfaxienFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| UTA Arad vs HunedoaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.35 · −4.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Longford Town vs Bray WanderersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| San Martin San Juan vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Defensores Belgrano vs Almirante BrownFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Zurich vs BaselFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 1.95 · −17.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Almagro vs CA ColegialesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Nueva Chicago vs AtlantaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Fenerbahce vs KonyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.32 · +5.6% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew LodzFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Levski Sofia vs Spartak VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes UnidosFootball · Premier League | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs Bohemians PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.20 · −6.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Saint Etienne vs GrenobleFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.40 · +5.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Jezero vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Cerro Largo vs Defensor SportingFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.95 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Flandria vs Deportivo LiniersFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| HK Kopavogur vs Throttur ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Greenock Morton vs ArbroathFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Jonkopings Sodra vs RosengardFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Atvidabergs vs AngelholmsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.62 · +4.5% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Blackburn Rovers vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Valencia vs CeltaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.