Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 50m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3478
3477 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−191.7u
over 3477u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 627 | 54.9%51%–59% | −1.1pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1325 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.4pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1329 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 182 | 72.5%66%–78% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
374
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±80.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1771 | 68.3% | −80.9u |
| Match winner | 1707 | 60.7% | −110.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 640 | 67.2% | −19.2u |
| League 1 | 286 | 66.1% | −14.7u |
| Superleague | 284 | 61.3% | −34.3u |
| MLBMLB league page | 158 | 60.1% | +15.9u |
| League 2 | 146 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 102 | 64.7% | −5.8u |
| Division 2 | 92 | 66.3% | −3.3u |
| Serie B | 82 | 57.3% | −11.9u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 63 | 63.5% | −4.2u |
| Championship | 61 | 65.6% | −3.5u |
| Serie A | 59 | 54.2% | −11.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3478 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · USL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 52m before
Football · Liga MX
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 52m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga MX
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 48m before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 48m before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d 4h before
Football · Liga MX
X2Double Chance
· first seen 21h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts vs DumbartonFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| South Shields vs Merthyr TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Ipswich Town vs SunderlandFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix RisingFootball · USL | first seen 52m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.87 · +6.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Cruz Azul vs AtlasFootball · Liga MX | first seen 52m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| IJsselmeervogels vs Quick BoysFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Katwijk vs HoekFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Herediano vs Sporting San JoseFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Puebla vs Santos LagunaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 48m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| FC San Antonio vs Oakland RootsFootball · USL | first seen 48m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cerrito vs Uruguay MontevideoFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Lens vs AuxerreFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Maritimo vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 5-4 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5-10 | LOST |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Loudoun United vs New Mexico UnitedFootball · USL | first seen 6d 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Queretaro vs TolucaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 21h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Troyes vs Paris FCFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.