Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 19m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3477
3476 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−192.5u
over 3476u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 626 | 54.8%51%–59% | −1.2pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1325 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.4pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1329 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 182 | 72.5%66%–78% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
373
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±80.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1771 | 68.3% | −80.9u |
| Match winner | 1706 | 60.6% | −111.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 640 | 67.2% | −19.2u |
| League 1 | 286 | 66.1% | −14.7u |
| Superleague | 284 | 61.3% | −34.3u |
| MLBMLB league page | 158 | 60.1% | +15.9u |
| League 2 | 146 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 102 | 64.7% | −5.8u |
| Division 2 | 92 | 66.3% | −3.3u |
| Serie B | 82 | 57.3% | −11.9u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 63 | 63.5% | −4.2u |
| Championship | 61 | 65.6% | −3.5u |
| Serie A | 59 | 54.2% | −11.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3477 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
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Football · League 1
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Baseball · KBO
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Football · Premier League
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Baseball · KBO
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Football · National league. North
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
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· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
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· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Ice Hockey · NZIHL. Final. Best of 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica vs Arka GdyniaFootball · League 1 | first seen 19m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Yverdon Sport vs AarauFootball · Challenge League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| AGF Aarhus vs OdenseFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.77 · −5.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 4m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.35 · −2.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| ROHDA Raalte vs De TreffersFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.22 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Young Boys vs VaduzFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.75 · −7.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Oddevold vs HelsingborgFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Koge vs Kolding IFFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Baranovichi vs Dynamo BrestFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Jeonnam Dragons vs HwaseongFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.90 · +4.4% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Akron Tolyatti vs Krylia SovetovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Doosan Bears vs Lotte GiantsBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Hanwha Eagles vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-12 | LOST |
| Chester vs Spalding UnitedFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto CordobaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Parma vs CagliariFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Halifax Wanderers vs VancouverFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Ayacucho vs Deportivo BinacionalFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.16 · 0.0% CLV | 7-1 | WON |
| Mladost Donja Gorica vs PetrovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Harju Laagri vs Nomme KaljuFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.45 · −4.6% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Mura vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Skycity Stampede vs Dunedin ThunderIce Hockey · NZIHL. Final. Best of 3 | first seen 12h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.52 · +3.4% CLV | 6-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.