Santa Clara vs Famalicao
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3474
3473 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−190.8u
over 3473u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 625 | 54.9%51%–59% | −1.1pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1325 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.4pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1327 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 182 | 72.5%66%–78% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
370
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±80.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1770 | 68.4% | −79.9u |
| Match winner | 1704 | 60.7% | −110.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 640 | 67.2% | −19.2u |
| League 1 | 286 | 66.1% | −14.7u |
| Superleague | 284 | 61.3% | −34.3u |
| MLBMLB league page | 157 | 60.5% | +16.9u |
| League 2 | 146 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 102 | 64.7% | −5.8u |
| Division 2 | 92 | 66.3% | −3.3u |
| Serie B | 82 | 57.3% | −11.9u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 63 | 63.5% | −4.2u |
| Championship | 61 | 65.6% | −3.5u |
| Serie A | 59 | 54.2% | −11.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3474 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Leumit
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| IA Akranes vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Stjarnan vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Francs Borains vs HasseltFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Castellon vs SabadellFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.52 · −10.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Pisa vs PadovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.78 · +0.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Radnik Surdulica vs Novi PazarFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs ENPPIFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTMFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Spartak Moscow vs Zenit SPbFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| LKS Lodz vs Stal MielecFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Zilina vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Keflavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.97 · +2.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| OFI vs VolosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.60 · +16.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Gzira United vs VallettaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Venezia vs LecceFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Campobasso vs PianeseFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Trabzonspor vs Istanbul BasaksehirFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.13 · +12.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Parnu Vaprus vs Flora TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Kfar ShalemFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Hohenems vs RothisFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Norrby vs SandvikensFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Atletico Madrid vs VillarrealFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.85 · +2.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Le Havre vs MonacoFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.92 · −2.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.