Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
Football · Virsliga
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.95 · +11.4% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3464
3463 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−188.9u
over 3463u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 619 | 54.9%51%–59% | −1.0pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1323 | 61.9%59%–64% | −4.3pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1325 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 182 | 72.5%66%–78% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
360
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±80.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1768 | 68.4% | −79.2u |
| Match winner | 1696 | 60.7% | −109.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 639 | 67.1% | −19.5u |
| League 1 | 286 | 66.1% | −14.7u |
| Superleague | 284 | 61.3% | −34.3u |
| MLBMLB league page | 152 | 60.5% | +16.5u |
| League 2 | 146 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 102 | 64.7% | −5.8u |
| Division 2 | 92 | 66.3% | −3.3u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 63 | 63.5% | −4.2u |
| Championship | 61 | 65.6% | −3.5u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3464 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Virsliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · K League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Women. NWSL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Leumit
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Leumit
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 19m before
Football · K League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 48m before
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 48m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova vs BFC DaugavpilsFootball · Virsliga | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.95 · +11.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Valmiera vs MarupesFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.19 · −4.8% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Daegu vs Busan I'ParkFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.92 · +1.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Mosta vs BalzanFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Bragantino vs GremioFootball · Serie A | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.67 · +6.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Atenas San Carlos vs Sportivo HuracanFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.85 · +32.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| PAOK vs LevadiakosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Chicago Red Stars (w) vs Racing Louisville (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Catania vs Inter Milan U23Football · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.53 · +0.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Ironi ModiinFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel RaananaFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| PSV vs GroningenFootball · Premier League | first seen 19m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.33 · +6.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Seoul E-Land vs Paju FrontierFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.45 · −4.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chungnam Asan vs Yongin CityFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Chunichi Dragons vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Sydney United vs APIA TigersFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Central Norte vs Estudiantes CaserosFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 48m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL | first seen 48m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-7 | WON |
| Giana Erminio vs AlbinoleffeFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Chaco For Ever vs Los AndesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.15 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Benevento vs ModenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Antalyaspor vs PendiksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.