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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3458

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3459

3458 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−188.0u

over 3458u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%61855.0%51%–59%51%–59%−0.9pp
60–70%avg claim 66%132261.9%59%–64%59%–64%−4.3pp
70–80%avg claim 75%132271.0%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%18272.5%66%–78%66%–78%−7.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

355

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3458

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±80.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance176568.4%−79.1u
Match winner169460.7%−108.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League63667.0%−20.7u
League 128666.1%−14.7u
Superleague28361.5%−33.3u
MLB↗MLB league page15260.5%+16.5u
League 214661.0%−16.8u
Division 110264.7%−5.8u
Division 29167.0%−2.3u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6363.5%−4.2u
Championship6165.6%−3.5u
Serie A5855.2%−10.3u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3459 picks with a captured kickoff.

Charleston Battery vs Miami

Football · USL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 28h before

Jong Utrecht vs Heracles Almelo

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV
Score
1-6

2026-08-24 · first seen 4h before

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Petrzalka

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 1h before

Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo Minsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 1h before

12 de Junio Villa Hayes vs Guarani Paraguari

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-24 · first seen 2h before

Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 2h before

Rotor vs Neftekhimik

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.62 · +4.5% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 2h before

Vardar Skopje vs Sileks

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.87 · −4.1% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 1h before

Altamura vs Monopoli

Football · Serie C. Group C

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 52m before

Reggiana vs Ravenna

Football · Serie C. Group B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 52m before

Real Santander vs Independiente Yumbo

Football · Serie B

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 1h before

Nizhny Novgorod vs SKA Khabarovsk

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-24 · first seen 3h before

Crotone vs Foggia

Football · Serie C. Group C

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 52m before

Atletico Guemes vs Atletico de Rafaela

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 52m before

Granada vs Mallorca

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 18m before

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 18m before

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-24 · first seen 3m before

Feirense vs Porto 2

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 3m before

Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 3m before

Fulham vs Chelsea

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.83 · −8.5% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-24 · first seen 52m before

Salernitana vs Sorrento

Football · Serie C. Group C

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-24 · first seen 52m before

Otelul Galati vs Arges Pitesti

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 22m before

Kocaelispor vs Amedspor

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 22m before

Livorno vs Torres

Football · Serie C. Group B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 22m before

Sivasspor vs Manisa

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-24 · first seen 22m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Charleston Battery vs MiamiFootball · USL2026-08-24first seen 28h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV5-0WON
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles AlmeloFootball · Division 12026-08-24first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV1-6WON
Lokomotíva Zvolen vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 22026-08-24first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1WON
Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo MinskFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-0LOST
12 de Junio Villa Hayes vs Guarani ParaguariFootball · Division 22026-08-24first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV3-2WON
Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Rotor vs NeftekhimikFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-24first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.62 · +4.5% CLV0-1LOST
Vardar Skopje vs SileksFootball · Division 12026-08-24first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.87 · −4.1% CLV4-1WON
Altamura vs MonopoliFootball · Serie C. Group C2026-08-24first seen 52m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0LOST
Reggiana vs RavennaFootball · Serie C. Group B2026-08-24first seen 52m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Real Santander vs Independiente YumboFootball · Serie B2026-08-24first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV1-0LOST
Nizhny Novgorod vs SKA KhabarovskFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-24first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV4-2WON
Crotone vs FoggiaFootball · Serie C. Group C2026-08-24first seen 52m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1LOST
Atletico Guemes vs Atletico de RafaelaFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-24first seen 52m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-0WON
Granada vs MallorcaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-24first seen 18m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-0LOST
Malaga vs Deportivo La CorunaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-24first seen 18m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Breidablik vs Fram ReykjavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 3m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-4WON
Feirense vs Porto 2Football · Division 22026-08-24first seen 3m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1LOST
Gil Vicente vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV2-0WON
Fulham vs ChelseaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-24first seen 52m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.83 · −8.5% CLV2-3WON
Salernitana vs SorrentoFootball · Serie C. Group C2026-08-24first seen 52m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV1-2LOST
Otelul Galati vs Arges PitestiFootball · League 12026-08-24first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0WON
Kocaelispor vs AmedsporFootball · Superleague2026-08-24first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0WON
Livorno vs TorresFootball · Serie C. Group B2026-08-24first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-1WON
Sivasspor vs ManisaFootball · League 12026-08-24first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-2WON

1101–1125 of 3459

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.