Shams Azar vs Aluminium Arak
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3377
3376 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−185.3u
over 3376u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W8
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 601 | 54.6%51%–59% | −1.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1297 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1293 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 173 | 74.0%67%–80% | −6.4pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 5 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
273
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±79.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1736 | 68.3% | −79.3u |
| Match winner | 1641 | 60.7% | −106.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 619 | 67.4% | −17.1u |
| League 1 | 280 | 66.8% | −11.6u |
| Superleague | 275 | 61.1% | −34.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 151 | 60.3% | +15.6u |
| League 2 | 145 | 61.4% | −15.8u |
| Division 1 | 93 | 66.7% | −2.2u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3377 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · CPBL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 33m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 28m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 7m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · USL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 28h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shams Azar vs Aluminium ArakFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Eibar vs ValladolidFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Angers vs LilleFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.72 · −3.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| SSG Landers vs KT Wiz SuwonBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| NC Dinos vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Fubon Guardians vs Wei Chuan DragonsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Portland Thorns (w) vs Denver Summit (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 33m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| San Diego Padres vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 8-1 | WON |
| Magallanes vs Deportes Santa CruzFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs VarazdinFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Dundee United vs DundeeFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| BVSC Zuglo vs KarcagiFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Mlada Boleslav vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| KAMAZ vs SochiFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 1.88 · −13.4% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Lanus vs Argentinos JuniorsFootball · Premier League | first seen 7m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Botev Vratsa vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.05 · +7.9% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu LinnameeskondFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Charleston Battery vs MiamiFootball · USL | first seen 28h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Jong Utrecht vs Heracles AlmeloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV | 1-6 | WON |
| Lokomotíva Zvolen vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| 12 de Junio Villa Hayes vs Guarani ParaguariFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Rotor vs NeftekhimikFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.62 · +4.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
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