Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

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Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3161

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3161

3161 graded

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−165.0u

over 3161u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claims	Picks	Measured	95% CI	Gap
40–50%avg claim 47%	3	—	—	—
50–60%avg claim 56%	535	55.5%51%–60%	51%–60%	−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%	1238	62.0%59%–65%	59%–65%	−4.3pp
70–80%avg claim 75%	1216	71.0%68%–73%	68%–73%	−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%	166	74.1%67%–80%	67%–80%	−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%	3	—	—	—

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+1pp

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3161

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Double chance	1654	68.5%	−70.3u
Match winner	1507	61.0%	−94.7u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Premier League	560	67.3%	−15.1u
League 1	259	68.7%	−3.3u
Superleague	256	61.3%	−31.5u
League 2	141	61.0%	−16.8u
MLB MLB league page	128	62.5%	+18.4u
Division 1	91	67.0%	−1.4u
Division 2	87	66.7%	−2.7u
Serie B	80	57.5%	−11.2u
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional league page	61	65.6%	−2.2u
Serie A	54	53.7%	−10.5u
National league. North National league. North league page	53	62.3%	−4.7u
Championship	52	63.5%	−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3161 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sport

League

Market

Result

Period

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds: 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close: —
Score: 1-1