AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.38 · +3.8% CLV
- Score
- 5:2
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3327
3326 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−189.9u
over 3326u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 589 | 54.5%50%–58% | −1.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1286 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 172 | 73.8%67%–80% | −6.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−6pp
224
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1718 | 68.2% | −81.7u |
| Match winner | 1609 | 60.5% | −108.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 611 | 67.1% | −18.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 151 | 60.3% | +15.6u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Stars League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 46h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · U19. National league. Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · U19. National league. Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead EaglesFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.38 · +3.8% CLV | 5:2 | WON |
| Fiorentina vs FrosinoneFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.63 · −5.2% CLV | 0:3 | LOST |
| Sassuolo vs TorinoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Al Shahaniya vs Al SailiyaFootball · Stars League | first seen 46h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 2.85 · −12.3% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Monza vs UdineseFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs KosiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Konyaspor vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Servette vs FC LuzernFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kortrijk vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.92 · −12.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.35 · −12.9% CLV | 1:0 | LOST |
| Vizela U19 vs Porto U19Football · U19. National league. Division 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 4:2 | LOST |
| Tartu Welco vs ViimsiFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Istanbulspor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Uruguay Montevideo vs La LuzFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| AEK Larnaca vs APOEL NicosiaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Trencin vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.20 · +3.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Kayserispor vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Halmstads vs Kalmar FFFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19Football · U19. National league. Division 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| US Monastir vs Stade TunisienFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs ProstejovFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.20 · −3.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Pribram vs KarvinaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Strasbourg vs LensFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV | 2:1 | LOST |
| Pardubice vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.43 · −21.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya ZhytomyrFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.